
Three weeks ago when the Penguins traded for Marian Hossa in the deadlines biggest blockbuster, Penguins fans, for the most part, found themselves in an undeniable state of pure ecstasy. How could we not? Our team had landed the big prize that every team in reasonable contention for the playoffs was after; one of the top players in the league and a legitimate top-3 forward to play alongside Sidney Crosby.
It was great. Of course, no one planned on him spraining his MCL in the second period of his first game, thus knocking him out of the lineup for two weeks, but hey...shit happens.
Of course, there is always that person sitting in the back of the room, regardless of how good things may seem, trying to pee in the apple jacks, and in this case, it was hockey analyst Pierre McGuire. McGuire has repeatedly voiced his concerns on how the Penguins could become the newest version of the Tampa Bay Lightning, or, in his words, "Tampa Bay North."
What does that mean? Well, it means they will have invested too much in a small core of players, eating up far too much cap space and not having the ability to fill in around the small core of stars.
I've looked up the stuff, crunched the numbers, wasted the time, and considered all the data.
Two reasons why this won't happen with the Penguins, assuming of course, they re-sign Hossa (I admit, this could be a problem as Hossa will want to test free agency in search of the gigantic pay day he's going to receive, regardless of where he plays).
1. I'm going to
steal this from ESPN's John Buccigross, but, one of the biggest reasons the Lightning fell off the map so quickly is because they have drafted terribly.
That said, don't keep bringing up Tampa Bay and its big three players. Tampa Bay got bad fast because it drafted badly, traded badly and signed free agents badly.
Yes, yes, yes.
In 1998 the Lightning used their first and second round picks on Vincent Lecavalier and Brad Richards, two thirds of their big three (Martin St. Louis was the other). Two incredible picks. But, since that draft, the Lightning have wasted just about every single pick in the draft, and failed to land even one impact player, even with a pair of top-10 picks the following years which were blown on tremendous failures Alexandr Svitov and Nikita Alxeev.
To break it down, from 1999-2006 the Lightning had 79 picks in the amateur draft, of which, only 15 have managed to crack the NHL for a combined 1,286 games (including this season).
Not a single impact player in the group. The most notable player? Defenseman Paul Ranger who has played 219 games for Tampa.
Ranger has also put up the most points in the NHL, registering 75.
By comparison, over the same time period, the Penguins have had 76 picks in the amateur draft and managed to find 26 NHL players. The group has played over 3,000 games in the league, and registered over 1,454 points.
Granted, the Penguins had the luxury of selling off star players for pennies on the dollar (screw you, Craig Patrick - but that's another discussion for another day) and hitting the mother load with Evgeni Malkin and Sidney Crosby.
But, the Penguins have managed to find players in later rounds.
- Ryan Malone, fourth round
- Max Talbot, eighth round
- Kris Letang, third round
- Daniel Carcillo, third round (traded to Phoenix for Georges Laraque)
- Erik Christensen, third round (traded to Atlanta for Marian Hossa)
- Jonathan Filewich, third round
- Michel Oullet, fourth round
- Tyler Kennedy, fourth round
As Buccigross states in his column, the Lightning have fallen into irrelevance because they've drafted terribly. The Penguins, however, have not. They've managed to find useful players in later rounds to either (1) use as complimentary players to the franchise building blocks, Crosby and Malkin, or (2) use as trade bait to land other useful assets; Hossa, Gary Roberts.
It's a really good thing, and there's more on the way with Alex Goligoski, Kevin Velluex and Luca Caputi.
2. Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Marian Hossa are a substantially better trio than Vincent Lecavalier, Brad Richards and Martin St. Louis.
Make no mistake, Lecavalier, Richards and St. Louis are all good players, but only Lecavalier is really a top-shelf, front-line, upper echelon NHLer, and even he, until the past two seasons, has been more hype than reality. This season, and last season, are going to be the only years in Vinny's career where he's eclipsed the 85-point mark. Granted, that's a difficult thing to do and only your top players are capable of doing on a consistent basis; Lecavalier has done it twice in nine years...Crosby has done it twice in three years (would have been three-for-three had it not been for his ankle injury this season) while Malkin has done it twice in two years.
Richards and St. Louis, meanwhile, are very good players who managed to have one or two great seasons here and there.
Crosby and Malkin appear as if they are going to be competing for the scoring title every season, and if the team can manage to re-sign Hossa, the Penguins are going to have three of the best players in the NHL skating on their top two lines. I fail to see how this can be anything but a positive. Cap space be damned.
Especially when you've been able to select useful players in later rounds, and have a general manager who has proven he is able to find useful, cheap veterans floating around the NHL (See: Jeff Taffe, Gary Roberts, Mark Eaton --on the rare occasion that he's actually not hurt).
Plus, and as I've said before, the same day the Lightning traded away Richards for Dallas' spare parts and other assorted swag, they re-signed 31-year old defensemen Dan Boyle to a 7-year, $40 million contract. That's absurd.
To review:
1. Penguins draft better
2. Penguins have better players
3. Jay Feaster is a moron for thinking Dan Boyle, at the age of 31, is worth $40 million over seven years.